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2022 Playoff Scenario Thread

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Post  rbronish Fri May 20, 2022 5:08 pm

2022 Week 14 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL clinches Heartland division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss

Elimination Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA is knocked out of Atlantic division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA is knocked out of South division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM is knocked out of Heartland division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN is eliminated from playoff contention* with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

*Vancouver still remains alive for Pacific Division title

Teams clinched playoff berth:
None

Teams clinched division title:
None

Teams knocked out of division title contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (11), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (13)

Teams eliminated from playoff contention:
None
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Post  rbronish Sun May 22, 2022 3:51 pm

Notes after early games

Miami will be knocked out of division title contention with a loss at Albuquerque.

Saint Louis can not clinch a division title this week.

A Cincinnati win will eliminate Baltimore from playoff contention.

San Antonio will remain alive for division title contention with a win.
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Post  rbronish Sun May 22, 2022 7:33 pm

After 4:30 games

Miami has been knocked out of division title contention.

Saint Louis is one win or Memphis loss away from a division title.

Boston will clinch a playoff spot with a Birmingham loss tonight.

Baltimore is safe from elimination for one more week.

Vancouver is eliminated from playoff contention.
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Post  rbronish Sun May 22, 2022 10:45 pm

With Birmingham’s loss the Boston Bobcats are the first to clinch a playoff berth.
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon May 23, 2022 7:45 am

Thanks for keeping up with these!
I've updated the standings tables for playoffs / eliminated teams.
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon May 23, 2022 8:26 am

With clinching scenarios starting to pop up, I want to remind owners that you can rest players to avoid injury before the playoffs.
You'd just have to tell me if you want to rest offensive and/or defensive key players for a week, and that makes your team immune to losing any strengths before the playoffs. In the simulation, I will adjust the rosters to sit the normal starters.
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon May 23, 2022 8:51 am

rbronish wrote:
San Antonio will remain alive for division title contention with a win.

Doing some other math, the Texans would still be alive for a wild card spot, even with a loss tonight, although they would be mathematically eliminated from the winning the division.

San Diego and Salt Lake play each other, meaning one of those teams is guaranteed 9 wins.
Memphis and Dallas play each other, meaning one of those teams in guaranteed 8 wins.
Salt Lake and Memphis play each other, and depending on what happens in the above games, is what effects San Antonio.

The best case for the Texans is that Memphis loses out, Dallas only beats Memphis and loses their remaining games. San Diego and Salt Lake would be in at this point, and Memphis would finish with 7 wins, and Dallas with 8, but, the Texans would finish with 8 wins, and a better division record than the Regulators. San Antonio would also need other teams to stay below 8 wins, or at least, 8 wins with less than 7 conference wins.
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon May 23, 2022 9:16 am

Doing some more math, I believe Baltimore is eliminated (practically, but not mathematically). Their best case scenario means Cincinnati MUST lose the rest of their games, which includes losses to both Toronto and Pennsylvania. That means Toronto OR Pennsylvania is guaranteed 7 wins in this scenario. Baltimore has lost to both Toronto and Pennsylvania, but, there would be at least a 3 way tie if we get to this point, so conference record would be the tie break. In the best case, Toronto would be the 7 win team, and the tie break would have Baltimore and Toronto tied for conference record, with Cincinnati being eliminated at this point. That gets us back to a two team tie between Baltimore and Toronto, which Toronto has the head to head tie breaker, eliminating Baltimore.

Now, as I've just completed writing all this, I'm remembering one important thing. Toronto and Pennsylvania can tie, and that's Baltimore's in. So I guess they are not mathematically eliminated at this point, although it is extremely unlikely, especially given the Bluebirds remaining schedule.
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Post  rbronish Tue May 24, 2022 4:36 pm

2022 Week 15 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL clinches Heartland division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss

Elimination Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM is knocked out of Heartland division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN is knocked out of Pacific division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR is eliminated from wild card contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win

Teams clinched playoff berth:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS (14)

Teams clinched division title:
None

Teams knocked out of division title contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (11), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (13)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (14)

Teams eliminated from playoff contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (14)
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Post  rbronish Sat May 28, 2022 11:27 pm

With their win over Salt Lake, the Saint Louis Brewers are Heartland division champions.

Salt Lake’s loss keeps Colorado, Portland and Kansas City safe from elimination.
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Post  rbronish Mon May 30, 2022 6:35 pm

2022 Week 16 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS clinches home field advantage throughout Eastern Conference playoffs with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS clinches East division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL clinches home field advantage throughout Western Conference playoffs with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK clinches Pacific division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA loss

Elimination Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY is knocked out of East division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN is knocked out of Central division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR is knocked out of Central division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA is knocked out of Pacific division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR is knocked out of Pacific division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ is knocked out of South division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM win
OR 3)2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM win
OR 4) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM win
OR 4) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM win
OR 4) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM win
OR 4) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

Teams clinched playoff berth:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS (14)

Teams clinched division title:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL (15)

Teams knocked out of division title contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (11), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (13)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (15)

Teams eliminated from playoff contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (14)


Last edited by rbronish on Tue May 31, 2022 5:53 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post  NeauXone Tue May 31, 2022 12:27 am

Wouldn't a win OR an ATL/BIR/JAX/CHI/TOR loss get us into the playoffs? Because at that point, if we were to win, the most wins those teams could finish with is 10 and we'd have 11.
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Post  rbronish Tue May 31, 2022 5:56 am

NeauXone wrote:Wouldn't a win OR an ATL/BIR/JAX/CHI/TOR loss get us into the playoffs? Because at that point, if we were to win, the most wins those teams could finish with is 10 and we'd have 11.

Yes, you’re right. I have updated LSV as well as NY and LOU.
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 31, 2022 8:16 am

NeauXone wrote:Wouldn't a win OR an ATL/BIR/JAX/CHI/TOR loss get us into the playoffs? Because at that point, if we were to win, the most wins those teams could finish with is 10 and we'd have 11.

Seems like a win will be the easier route, rather than hoping 5 other teams all lose haha.
The Royals and CityHawks should have the same OR scenario, since they have the same number of wins as the Lightning at this point (although, the probability of all 5 teams losing is extremely low, about 3% if the win probabilities were all 50%, as a quick estimate, but this scenario doesn't even factor in that the Lightning, or the other two 10-4 teams would also have to lose for the scenario to even apply).
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 31, 2022 8:17 am

I haven't gotten to updating the standings tables with clinches and such yet, but I should be able to this afternoon or tomorrow. Still have to catch up on other things after the holiday weekend.
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Post  rbronish Tue May 31, 2022 8:34 am

Austin Snelick wrote:
NeauXone wrote:Wouldn't a win OR an ATL/BIR/JAX/CHI/TOR loss get us into the playoffs? Because at that point, if we were to win, the most wins those teams could finish with is 10 and we'd have 11.

Seems like a win will be the easier route, rather than hoping 5 other teams all lose haha.
The Royals and CityHawks should have the same OR scenario, since they have the same number of wins as the Lightning at this point (although, the probability of all 5 teams losing is extremely low, about 3% if the win probabilities were all 50%, as a quick estimate, but this scenario doesn't even factor in that the Lightning, or the other two 10-4 teams would also have to lose for the scenario to even apply).

The reason New York and Louisiana don't have OR scenarios is because they play against Atlanta and Birmingham respectively.

While we're on the explanations, you might notice that Albuquerque can be knocked out with a loss and Arizona win even though the Atoms are only two games behind. It all comes down to the Eagles' 4-0 division record. If they both finish 10-8, Arizona will have a 4-2 division record vs 'Querque's 3-3. But what about a 3-way tie with Dallas? In order for Dallas to also finish 10-8, it requires them to win against Arizona which will give them at least 3 division wins too.
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Post  rbronish Fri Jun 03, 2022 1:34 pm

Here's a summary of what the Lightning win over the Knights accomplished

Boston cannot clinch the East #1 seed this week
Louisville clinched a playoff berth
Cincinnati and Birmingham are knocked out of Central division title contention
Miami and Baltimore are still lurking
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Post  rbronish Sat Jun 04, 2022 11:08 pm

I looked closer at the tiebreaks for St. Louis vs Los Angeles and Las Vegas. At this point the Brewers and the West champion can end up at 14-4. St. Louis has beat Las Vegas head to head, so only Los Angeles has to lose for the Brewers to clinch HFA. Does anyone concur?
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Jun 05, 2022 8:35 am

rbronish wrote:I looked closer at the tiebreaks for St. Louis vs Los Angeles and Las Vegas. At this point the Brewers and the West champion can end up at 14-4. St. Louis has beat Las Vegas head to head, so only Los Angeles has to lose for the Brewers to clinch HFA. Does anyone concur?

Yep, that's what I was thinking. Brewers can have the 1 seed wrapped up by the end of the day with an LA loss.
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Post  rbronish Sun Jun 05, 2022 8:32 pm

Clinches and eliminations before SNF

STL-clinch home field advantage throughout Western Conference playoffs
LSV-clinch playoff berth
NY-clinch playoff berth
LOU-clinch playoff berth
OAK-clinch Pacific division title
BAL-eliminated from playoff contention
KC-eliminated from playoff contention
POR-knocked out of division title contention and eliminated from playoff contention
SA-eliminated from playoff contention
COL-eliminated from playoff contention
SEA-knocked out of division title contention and eliminated from playoff contention
CIN-knocked out of division title contention
BIR-knocked out of division title contention
ABQ-knocked out of division title contention
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon Jun 06, 2022 6:16 am

rbronish wrote:Clinches and eliminations before SNF

STL-clinch home field advantage throughout Western Conference playoffs
LSV-clinch playoff berth
NY-clinch playoff berth
LOU-clinch playoff berth
OAK-clinch Pacific division title
BAL-eliminated from playoff contention
KC-eliminated from playoff contention
POR-knocked out of division title contention and eliminated from playoff contention
SA-eliminated from playoff contention
COL-eliminated from playoff contention
SEA-knocked out of division title contention and eliminated from playoff contention
CIN-knocked out of division title contention
BIR-knocked out of division title contention
ABQ-knocked out of division title contention

Finally a week where a lot happened playoff wise.
I'll get the standings sheet updated.
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Post  rbronish Mon Jun 06, 2022 10:40 pm

2022 Week 17 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS clinches home field advantage throughout Eastern Conference playoffs with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS clinches East division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR clinches Atlantic division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ clinches South division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM/2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL tie

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM/2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL tie

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM/2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL tie

Elimination Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY is knocked out of East division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX is knocked out of Atlantic division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL is knocked out of Atlantic division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL is knocked out of Pacific division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win

Teams clinched playoff berth:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV(16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU (16)

Teams clinched division title:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK (16)

Teams knocked out of division title contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (11), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (13)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (15)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ (16)

Teams eliminated from playoff contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (16)


Last edited by rbronish on Tue Jun 07, 2022 5:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post  Untitled0717 Mon Jun 06, 2022 11:15 pm

rbronish wrote:2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss
Considering Memphis and Salt Lake are playing each other this week, we could still tie and the criteria would be met.
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Post  rbronish Tue Jun 07, 2022 5:09 pm

Untitled0717 wrote:
Considering Memphis and Salt Lake are playing each other this week, we could still tie and the criteria would be met.

Updated post to show MEM/SL tie, even if it's nearly impossible
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Post  Drew Abernathy Mon Jun 13, 2022 3:37 pm

The Pacific Division (is that right?) is logjammed!
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon Jun 13, 2022 4:29 pm

Drew Abernathy wrote:The Pacific Division (is that right?) is logjammed!

Oakland has won the Pacific division.
It's the West division that is logjammed, and could possibly send all 4 teams to the playoffs depending on how the season ends.
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2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Empty Scenarios I missed

Post  rbronish Mon Jun 13, 2022 5:36 pm

Pennsylvania is knocked out of division contention; this is because they lose a 3-way tie at 8-10 with Toronto and Chicago based on division record.

If Boston clinches the 1 seed in the East, the Central division champion will be locked into the 2 seed; this is because both Louisiana and Louisville beat Carolina head-to-head.

Washington is eliminated from playoff contention; this is because Cincinnati beats Washington based on conference record (CIN worst 6-8 vs WAS best 5-9).

Albuquerque is eliminated from playoff contention; this is because either Salt Lake or Dallas beats Albuquerque based on conference record (SL worst 8-6, DAL worst 7-7 vs ABQ best 6-8 ).
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 14, 2022 5:57 am

rbronish wrote:Pennsylvania is knocked out of division contention; this is because they lose a 3-way tie at 8-10 with Toronto and Chicago based on division record.

If Boston clinches the 1 seed in the East, the Central division champion will be locked into the 2 seed; this is because both Louisiana and Louisville beat Carolina head-to-head.

Washington is eliminated from playoff contention; this is because Cincinnati beats Washington based on conference record (CIN worst 6-8 vs WAS best 5-9).

Albuquerque is eliminated from playoff contention; this is because either Salt Lake or Dallas beats Albuquerque based on conference record (SL worst 8-6, DAL worst 7-7 vs ABQ best 6-8 ).



Thanks for the update.
I'll add, Carolina could end up as the 4 seed if they lose two in a row, and Toronto wins two in a row.

So after last night's game, Boston has clinched the 1 seed, and New York will be a wild card team (seed pending).
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Post  rbronish Tue Jun 14, 2022 2:58 pm

2022 Week 18 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR clinches North division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU clinches Central division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL loss

Elimination Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV is knocked out of Central division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI is knocked out of North division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HZRxjxTWIS is knocked out of North division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HZRxjxTWIS loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL loss + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HZRxjxTWIS is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HZRxjxTWIS loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Cll1a7cPEN is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Cll1a7cPEN loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL is knocked out of West division title contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread SMoAuNTLA win
OR 3) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM is eliminated from playoff contention with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM loss

Teams clinched playoff berth:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV(16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR (17)

Teams clinched division title:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread FNYji5RSTL (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Tg9BnTVOAK (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2R8kWouARZ (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread IxM5FyQCAR (17)  
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HI9o90sBOS (17)

Teams knocked out of division title contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (11), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (13), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (13)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread AuFbyHxMEM (15), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (15)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VxwCKuoBIR (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread R2QYR8LJAX (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread WIuqyhsATL (17)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Cll1a7cPEN (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread HqO5poNNY (17)

Teams eliminated from playoff contention:
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread QdLBpvNVAN (14), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread NDqeAAFBAL (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 9vBBvclKC (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread XlsVHcGPOR (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Uyaxgt3SA (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread RWKjdYyCOL (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread KgR40j0SEA (16), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread VRFZD78MIA (16)
2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 2fFjmHcWAS (17), 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread EFBmJLHABQ (17)


Last edited by rbronish on Sat Jun 18, 2022 7:18 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post  Drew Abernathy Tue Jun 14, 2022 4:22 pm

So that's all Salt Lake needs to do.

No pressure
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Post  rbronish Tue Jun 21, 2022 8:13 pm

2022 Week 19 Playoff Picture

Clinching Scenarios

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread A8bWvD4East

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI clinches North division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR clinches North division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GswKyV1CHI loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU clinches Central division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV clinches Central division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread Hh7Lll5LSV win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 0N7y7cmLOU loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LEQyvIQTOR win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread MBVl7CJCIN loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread BB4TTzEWest

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV clinches West division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD clinches West division title with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread LUaNy8gSD win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread 8Zjg8aYLV loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL win
OR 2) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL loss

2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL clinches playoff berth with:
      1) 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread GAY8BIqSL win + 2022 Playoff Scenario Thread PcRPf3dDAL loss

I would like to nominate LOU/CIN as the SNF game since a division title for Louisiana and a playoff berth for Cincinnati are on the line
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Post  Austin Snelick Wed Jun 22, 2022 7:36 am

rbronish wrote:I would like to nominate LOU/CIN as the SNF game since a division title for Louisiana and a playoff berth for Cincinnati are on the line

I don't think I will be moving any games to Sunday night in week 19.

What I'd like is a guaranteed win and in scenario. Or, basically, what I don't want, is for either of the two teams in the night game to have nothing to play for.
If Chicago OR Toronto lose Sunday, then Cincinnati has nothing to play for, as they will have the wild card slot. If the Lightning lose, then the Royals would have nothing to play for, as they'd have the 2 seed.

So, no schedule changes for week 19.
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