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Week 3 - 2023

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Appleman20
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Rafael Menoncin
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Post  Rafael Menoncin Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:32 am

Week 3 kicks off today with the Birmingham Owls facing the Vancouver Bears on Thursday night football. From now on I will help Austin with the lines and previews.

On to the lines!

GSL Week 3 preview - 2023

Thursday, March 2, 2023 - 8:15PM
Birmingham @ Vancouver
Line: -4.5 BIR
O/U: 36.5
Win Pct: BIR 64.5%

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
Boston @ Carolina
Line: -2.0 BOS
O/U: 40.5
Win Pct: 58.0% BOS

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
Cincinnati @ Louisiana
Line: - 4.5 CIN
O/U: 40.5
Win Pct: 63.5% CIN

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
Colorado @ Atlanta
Line: - 11.0 COL
O/U: 40.0
Win Pct: 76.0% COL

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
Miami @ Memphis
Line: - 8.0 MEM
O/U: 48.0
Win Pct: 68.7% MEM

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
Pennsylvania @ Wisconsin
Line: - 0.5 PEN
O/U: 40.5
Win Pct: 50.5% PEN

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
San Antonio @ Toronto
Line: - 3.5 TOR
O/U: 38.5
Win Pct: 62.5% TOR

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 1:00PM
St Louis @ Jacksonville
Line: - 4.0 JAX
O/U: 38.0
Win Pct: 60.5% JAX

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
Baltimore @ San Diego
Line: - 1.0 Baltimore
O/U: 38.0
Win Pct: 54.9% BAL

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
Kansas City @ Oakland
Line: - 5.0 OAK
O/U: 44.5
Win Pct:  63.6% OAK

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
Los Angeles @ Seattle
Line: - 7.0 LA
O/U: 52.0
Win Pct: 64.5% LA

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
New York @ Las Vegas
Line: - 1.5 LV
O/U: 43.5
Win Pct:  54.3% LV

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
Portland @ Dallas
Line: - 3.0 POR
O/U: 41.0
Win Pct: 59.2% POR

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 4:30PM
Salt Lake @ Albuquerque
Line: - 6.5 SL
O/U: 50.0
Win Pct: 66.0% SL

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - 8:15PM
Louisville @ Washington
Line: - 3.0 WAS
O/U: 41.0
Win Pct: 55.4% WAS

Monday, March 6, 2023 - 8:15PM
Arizona @ Montreal
Line: - 2.0 ARZ
O/U: 40.0
Win Pct: 58.0% ARZ


Last edited by Rafael Menoncin on Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:52 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post  Austin Snelick Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:45 am

Thanks for putting this together!

Good for us to be the favorites at home this week, but it looks like it will be mostly a toss-up of a game.
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Post  CarterB2 Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:46 pm

Austin Snelick wrote:Thanks for putting this together!

Good for us to be the favorites at home this week, but it looks like it will be mostly a toss-up of a game.

Welp it's going to be a good one. A lotta different ways this matchup can go.
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Post  Appleman20 Fri Mar 03, 2023 12:04 am

Easy Dub on a Thursday night. Great to be 2-1
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Post  sfcom1 Fri Mar 03, 2023 1:30 pm

A good test early in the season, for the supprising Miami SOL. They will be hosted by a very good Memphis Demons squad! It is going to be FUN!

John
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Post  Patrick Davis Sun Mar 05, 2023 6:57 pm

Another good outing for us. Great start to the season , but we got to keep it rolling
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Post  CarterB2 Sun Mar 05, 2023 7:13 pm

Alright a TON to cover about the weirdest and wildest game I have and will ever see.

The first half was very boring with only 1 touchdown and 3 field goals, the second half brought some odd occurrences with the simulation, here are some I caught.

Week 3 - 2023 Screen10

Week 3 - 2023 Screen11

Week 3 - 2023 Screen13

Week 3 - 2023 Screen12

And to cap it off a fumble that almost cost us the game but the kicker missed the field goal.

Week 3 - 2023 Screen14

Week 3 - 2023 Screen15
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Post  Austin Snelick Mon Mar 06, 2023 6:54 am

CarterB2 wrote:Alright a TON to cover about the weirdest and wildest game I have and will ever see.

The first half was very boring with only 1 touchdown and 3 field goals, the second half brought some odd occurrences with the simulation, here are some I caught.

Week 3 - 2023 Screen10

Week 3 - 2023 Screen11

Week 3 - 2023 Screen13

Week 3 - 2023 Screen12

And to cap it off a fumble that almost cost us the game but the kicker missed the field goal.

Week 3 - 2023 Screen14

Week 3 - 2023 Screen15


QB just can't hit WR Jr. can he?

Yeah, that game went down to the end. We needed some more yards for that late field goal. Had the distance at least.
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Post  NeauXone Mon Mar 06, 2023 2:10 pm

48 unanswered points/55-7 since going down 14-0 is absurd. 3-0 ⚡
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Post  sfcom1 Mon Mar 06, 2023 2:41 pm

Sounds like the Bills vs Oilers. Back in the 90's
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Post  CarterB2 Mon Mar 06, 2023 6:33 pm

Just wanna say something about those high scoring games, no single team in GSL history has scored more than 60 points in a game. Even the NFL hasn't seen a 60+ point game in a while, shows how rare those types of games really are.

The closest was Jacksonville with 58 in week 9 of 2022.

Huh Neutral
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Mar 07, 2023 6:38 am

sfcom1 wrote:Sounds like the Bills vs Oilers. Back in the 90's

Or Redskins vs Broncos in Super Bowl XXII
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Mar 07, 2023 6:47 am

CarterB2 wrote:Just wanna say something about those high scoring games, no single team in GSL history has scored more than 60 points in a game. Even the NFL hasn't seen a 60+ point game in a while, shows how rare those types of games really are.

The closest was Jacksonville with 58 in week 9 of 2022.

Huh Neutral

Goes to show how hard it is to score that many times in a game. The quickest way to 56 points is with 8 touchdowns, which is hard enough. The quickest way over 60 is going to be 9 touchdowns (we're assuming team's aren't going for 2 the entire game, and making it consistently, especially with this simulation). That's just a lot of touchdowns, and many GSL games won't give you enough possessions to score that many times.

Just as a test, I wanted to do some simulations by hand with the program being used on the backend of the GSL, to see if I could get to 60+ points. Using the 2008 Lions and the 2007 Patriots, it took me probably 30 to 40 simulations before I got a score of 63 to 17, which included 9 Patriots scoring drives, all touchdowns. So, it's pretty hard to reach that many points.
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Post  Drew Abernathy Wed Mar 08, 2023 3:09 pm

We have a decent enough Defense, but our 3-yards and a cloud of dust offense needs a kick in the rear. Glad we ground it out against the Atoms.
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