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GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021

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92Mafia
rbronish
Austin Snelick
NeauXone
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Post  rbronish Tue Apr 20, 2021 3:30 pm

Austin Snelick wrote:Week 9 Snelick index power rankings

I realized I had not been calculating some things correctly over the past 2 weeks, so some movement may be based on my fixing of that problem.
...
Norfolk's drop is mostly due to good wins by Arizona, Memphis, and Colorado.

I knew it was too good to be true for us to be at 2. Meanwhile, here's where we're at.

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Pictur19

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Post  Austin Snelick Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:47 am

Weekly Wins Chart

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 XlHZId5

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Post  NeauXone Sat Apr 24, 2021 1:34 am

Halfway through the season, here's our top 5 QB ladder:
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Qbladd10
I extrapolated recent stats from the simmed games to try and put together a half season's worth of statistics for each QB. Might do this with the rest of the QBs but I'll definitely be doing this to put together an MVP race very soon.

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Post  Austin Snelick Sat Apr 24, 2021 10:13 am

NeauXone wrote:Halfway through the season, here's our top 5 QB ladder:
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Qbladd10
I extrapolated recent stats from the simmed games to try and put together a half season's worth of statistics for each QB. Might do this with the rest of the QBs but I'll definitely be doing this to put together an MVP race very soon.

Awesome!

I'll have to figure out a good way to store stats for next season. I still haven't quite gotten the simulation figured out, although I have lots of good data now. The hardest part is decision making (when should teams go for it on 4th down, when should they kick a field goal / punt, things like that), and assigning team strengths will also be difficult, because strengths will have to be determined on a play by play basis, and not on the entire game as a whole. So, I'm not sure if by the 2022 season I'll have that figured out or not. May have to be something for the 2023 season.

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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Apr 27, 2021 8:11 am

Week 10 Snelick Index Power Rankings

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Qz1p9hk

Some changes near the top, with both Arizona and Colorado losing this week. Memphis moves up to 2, and Norfolk moves up to 3.
The biggest jump of the week was Baltimore, who jumped 3 slots to 10.
No other big changes this week, with 6 teams on bye.

Weekly Wins Chart
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 9djvCJI

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Post  Untitled0717 Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:08 am

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w110

Win Division%
CIN - 2.864%
PEN - 95.4%
TOR - 1.636%
WIS - 0.1%

ATL - 0.218%
JAX - 2.674%
LOU - 0.25%
LSV - 96.858%

BAL - 11.896%
MIA - 0.866%
NOR - 66.886%
WAS - 20.352%

DAL - 0.036%
MEM - 79.95%
SA - 20%
STL - 0.014%

ABQ - 0.322%
ARZ - 74.318%
COL - 25.36%
LV - <0.001%

LA - 1.338%
OAK - 89.692%
SD - 2.154%
SEA - 6.816%
------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 93.116%
ARZ - 44.752%
MEM - 25.22%
OAK - 14.382%
COL - 11.328%
SA - 4.284%
CIN - 2.444%
NOR - 2.032%
TOR - 1.368%
WAS - 0.706%
BAL - 0.168%
LSV - 0.104%
WIS - 0.062%
ABQ - 0.014%
SD - 0.01%
LA - 0.008%
SEA - 0.002%
ATL, JAX, LOU, MIA, DAL, STL, LV - <0.001%

***WEEK 11 SCENARIOS***
ATL Eliminated from #1 Seed with loss
JAX, LOU Eliminated from #1 Seed with loss and PEN win
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Post  Patrick Davis Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:20 am

Things were looking so much better two weeks agao . Lots of games left though for us to get that wild card
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:35 am

Untitled0717 wrote:

***WEEK 11 SCENARIOS***
ATL Eliminated from #1 Seed with loss
JAX, LOU Eliminated from #1 Seed with loss and PEN win

Wow, elimination scenarios already. Even if it's just for the #1 seed.

Looking at were things stand, the Lightning have the greatest division lead now, up by 4 wins on second place (although, they don't hold the head to head tie breaker on Jacksonville).
It seems like in the North, it'll be hard to catch Pennsylvania, so the other three teams are battling for a wild card spot.
In the East, The Commanders have really taken off, but they're in division games are tough, including Miami, who's not really a bad team, so this division is long from over I think.
The Western conference is interesting. With some losses, the top 5 teams are up at least 2 wins over the next tier of teams.
In the Central division, the Comets and Texans will be battling for the division title.
The West division got interesting with both Arizona and Colorado losing this week. They may have more competition for that #1 seed in the Western Conference than previously thought. Should be a good race for the #1 seed.
The Pacific division seems to belong to Oakland, as they're up 3 games, but there's still half a season left, so maybe one of the 4 win teams in that division can make a run at the division lead.
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Post  rbronish Tue Apr 27, 2021 3:05 pm

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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 04, 2021 7:52 am

Snelick Index Week 11 Power Rankings

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 HUXhmJr

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 7VzHmQT

Big week for a lot of teams near the top.

The to three teams remain at their spots.
With the Cabras win Sunday night, they climb to first place in the Western Conference, and into 4th on the power rankings, while Arizona drops to 5.
San Antonio saw themselves jump the most spots this week, by derailing the express in a 28 point victory.
Toronto with their baffling and embarrassing loss to Jacksonville drops only one spot, but they are now on the outside looking in on the wild card spot.
Cincinnati continues to move upwards, now sitting at 8 in the power rankings.
The Icons loss to The Comets have them drop 2.
Washington, Wisconsin, and Baltimore all drop 2 spots as well, but this is part due to the jumps made by San Antonio and Cincinnati.
Smaller moves as we get closer to the bottom. The bigger drop was LA, with their poor game Sunday.
At the bottom, Atlanta and Louisiana continue their battle for worst team in the league, with the Royals taking the bottom spot this week.

Win chart
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 15kc8da
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Post  Untitled0717 Tue May 04, 2021 1:42 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w112

Division Win%
CIN - 3.912%
PEN - 95.528%
TOR - 0.474%
WIS - 0.086%

ATL - 0.17%
JAX - 6.56%
LOU - 0.284%
LSV - 92.986%

BAL - 10.174%
MIA - 0.484%
NOR - 62.13%
WAS - 27.212%

DAL - <0.001%
MEM - 73.688%
SA - 26.312%
STL - <0.001%

ABQ - 0.436%
ARZ - 61.796%
COL - 37.768%
LV - <0.001%

LA - 1.196%
OAK - 75.926%
SD - 5.492%
SEA - 17.386%
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 93.652%
MEM - 37.818%
ARZ - 29.432%
COL - 15.578%
SA - 12.69%
OAK - 4.442%
CIN - 3.504%
NOR - 1.424%
WAS - 0.898%
TOR - 0.348%
BAL - 0.11%
WIS - 0.048%
ABQ - 0.024%
LSV - 0.014%
SEA - 0.012%
MIA - 0.002%
LA - 0.002%
SD - 0.002%
JAX, DAL, STL, LV - <0.001%
ATL, LOU - ELIMINATED

***WEEK 12 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
JAX Eliminated with loss or PEN win
MIA Eliminated with loss and PEN win
DAL, LV, STL Eliminated with loss and COL win

Division
LV Eliminated with loss and COL win
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Post  rbronish Tue May 04, 2021 3:16 pm

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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 11, 2021 8:23 am

Week 12 has ended, and for the most part, no surprises. That is, until Monday night, where the Jacksonville Captains pulled off yet another upset, this time beating the Washington Stars.

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 AH6FBVR

The top 5 teams all took care of business this week, and remain in their spots from the previous week.
Toronto got a huge win over the Knights to even the season series, and to pull ahead in the division. They really needed this win this week to get back on track, ending a 6 game win streak for the Knights.
Cincinnati, despite the loss, moves up one spot, due to the Texans loss.
The biggest move of the week is Baltimore, mostly due to how handedly they beat Louisiana.
San Antonio was dismantled against Memphis. A tough loss that drops them three spots, and puts them in a spot where they are going to have a tough time climbing back into first in the division.
Oakland drops two spots with the loss at Las Vegas. Not a good game to lose. They are still in a good place in the division, but they need to close it out in the coming weeks.
Wisconsin just can't catch a break with their schedule. They hung tough with PA for the first three quarters before ultimately losing. They are still in the wild card race however.
Smaller movements towards the bottom. What's notable is that Louisville and Jacksonville are slowly getting closer in the power rankings. Can the Captains make a run at the division? The Lightnings remaining schedule may be what propels them into the playoffs to take this weak division.

Win chart
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 AHKoo4m
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Post  Untitled0717 Tue May 11, 2021 3:06 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w113

Division Win%
CIN - 0.366%
PEN - 99.402%
TOR - 0.232%
WIS - <0.001%

ATL - 0.05%
JAX - 13.724%
LOU - 0.07%
LSV - 86.156%

BAL - 14.672%
MIA - 0.53%
NOR - 73.48%
WAS - 11.318%

DAL - 0.004%
MEM - 92.538%
SA - 7.458%
STL - <0.001%

ABQ - 0.426%
ARZ - 55.948%
COL - 43.626%
LV - <0.001%

LA - 1.198%
OAK - 79.39%
SD - 4.602%
SEA - 14.81%
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 98.324%
MEM - 44.286%
ARZ - 29.622%
COL - 21.648%
SA - 2.86%
OAK - 1.572%
NOR - 0.982%
CIN - 0.346%
TOR - 0.196%
BAL - 0.082%
WAS - 0.07%
ABQ - 0.012%
WIS, LSV, MIA, DAL, LV, LA, SD, SEA- <0.001%
ATL, JAX, LOU, STL- ELIMINATED

***WEEK 13 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
DAL, LV Eliminated with loss or COL win
LA Eliminated with loss and COL win
MIA Eliminated with loss or PEN win
WIS Eliminated with loss and PEN win
LSV Eliminated with PEN win

Division Title
LV Eliminated with loss or COL win
STL Eliminated with loss and MEM win
WIS Eliminated with loss and PEN win
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Post  rbronish Tue May 11, 2021 3:42 pm

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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 18, 2021 8:44 am

Week 13 Snelick Index power rankings

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Ar305nc

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 CrNvSDn

With the Cabras loss last night, the Eagles jump one spot to 4, while Colorado drops to 5. Big game coming up on Sunday night between these two teams, not only for themselves, but for Memphis as well, who would move to the top seed in the west if they win and Arizona wins.

Oakland moves up two spots, as they had a pretty convincing win in Mexico City Saturday night.

San Antonio was able to hang with the Keystones through the first three quarters before things fell apart, in what turned out to be a blow out loss in the end, at least on the scoreboard, but the scoreboard does effect these power rankings, so that's why we see the Texans drop 3 spots this week.

Miami also dropped three spots, which can be attributed to their big loss out in Arizona.
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue May 18, 2021 9:18 am


We've completed 2/3rds of the season, and every team has now had their bye week, so we are in the home stretch of the 2021 season. Let's do a brief synopsis by division.

North
The Keystones are up 4 games in the division with just 6 games to go, and are closing in on clinching the division. The Knights have the greatest outside chance of stealing the North division, but it's unlikely, and would require a 2020 Steelers type of collapse, which I don't see happening.
Toronto is just ahead of the Knights in the division, based on division wins, and are holding on to their wild card spot. After three straight losses, the Terror have gotten back on track with 2 straight wins. They will have a tough schedule moving forward though, with their next three games being home to Memphis, then at Norfolk, at Pennsylvania.
Cincinnati may be third int he division, and in the 5th seed in the conference, but their remaining schedule is more favorable than Toronto, with 4 home games. The Knights are also hoping to catch the Keystones resting players for the playoffs in week 19, to make their toughest remaining game a little easier.
The Stags season has started to fall apart, but mostly due to their hard schedule these past 5 games. In their 1-4 stretch, the Stags have played Pennsylvania twice, and at Norfolk, at Memphis. At 6-6, they will need some help to make the playoffs, but they'll have to help themselves as well. They need to win their next game at home against the Texans, and will need to win their remaining divisional games, which are on the road at Cincinnati and Toronto, and take care of business against Miami and Atlanta (they should win this one). It'll likely take at least 11 wins to make a wild card spot in the Eastern Conference, so the Stags will have to go on a run to finish out the season.

South
This division just got a whole lot more interesting the past few weeks. Going into week 11, the Lightning where on a 3 game win streak, up 3.5 games to the second place Captains. In the past three weeks, with two losses and a bye, the Lightning have seen there division lead cut to 1 game, with the Captains holding the tie breaker. The Lightning's remaining schedule should give them their best chance to keep themselves on top in the South, with 4 home games, with their two away games being at Atlanta and at Los Angeles. The Lightning should win 4 of their last 6, which should be enough to take the division, but they better hope it doesn't come down to beating Jacksonville in week 19.
For the Captains, they have put themselves in a position to make a run at a weak division, but they will need to continue pulling off upsets. Seattle at home next week is a winnable game, and they also have Louisiana and Atlanta on their schedule. If the Captains can come into week 19 with an 8-9 record, they will have a shot if they beat Louisville.
The Royals suck. They've got week 19 circled on their calendar, but until then, its hard to see them win any other game.
Atlanta has had an awful season as well, but they may come away from this season with 3 wins. Week 19 against the Royals at home is a game they've been looking forward to, but this week at home against the Express will be a good matchup as well. Outside fo that, don't expect them to do much else.

East
The teams of the East division have been competitive all year, and this division isn't quite over yet. The Commanders have done everything they can to distance themselves in the division, having won 7 in a row. Their remaining schedule will show how worthy of a playoff contender they are, as there really isn't an "easy" win left. Their three game home stretch includes Baltimore, who has won 5 of 6, Toronto, who is starting to turn things back around, and Arizona, who is tied for best record in the Western conference. The Commanders end their season with 3 road games, going to Cincinnati, Washington, and Miami. Winning 4 of these games would show some real strength for this team going into the playoffs, but the wins they need most are against Baltimore and Cincinnati, to give themselves some Eastern Conference playoff insurance, and give themselves the 2 seed.
Baltimore has brought themselves back into playoff relevance in the past weeks, with some more big games coming up. Their next game at Norfolk is a must win. Baltimore really has only an outside chance at winning the division, as they'd have to overcome tie breakers by finishing with one more win than the Commanders, in all likelihood. The Wild Card race is going to be tough as well, having lost to both Toronto and Cincinnati. A win at Norfolk will be crucial, then they will need to win their home games against the Atoms, Sol, and Stars. To have a real shot at the playoffs though, the Bluebirds are going to have to win their game in Wisconsin, or, get lucky and steal a win against the Pennsylvania Keystones.
Washington has pretty much put themselves out of the playoffs with their last two losses. The loss at Jacksonville was bad, and carried over to Albuquerque. With three games against teams fighting for playoff spots in Cincinnati, Norfolk and Baltimore, the Stars could at least play of something, and would love nothing more to knock a team like Baltimore out of the playoffs in week 19 if given the chance.
Miami, despite the record, has played tough all year due to their defense. They will also be playing tough as a playoff spoiler to finish the year.

Central
The Comets have been hot, and are right in the thick of the race for the top seed in the Western Conference. After a slow start to the season, they have won 7 in a row. They have 3 should win games on their schedule, and two must wins to grab the number one seed. If Memphis can beat Arizona at home, and Colorado on the road, they will have the top seed, although, winning 4 games may be enough, as Arizona and Colorado play each other this week. Should be a good race to the finish.
San Antonio has taken a rough stretch of games, with losing to Memphis twice, and having to host the Keystones this week. This team is still in good shape in the wild card race. Their schedule is manageable, but their must win game will be against the Atoms in week 17, as that is the team with an outside shot of knocking them out of the playoffs.
Dallas really only has pride to play for to finish the season. They will have some rough games, with the way their defense plays, going to Pennsylvania and Memphis. Los Vegas in week 17 may be their only remaining competitive game.
The Brewers are also in a tough spot to finish the season, and are probably ready for it to end. They've also got the Outlaws circled on their schedule as a winnable game.

Pacific
The Icons have their sights set on closing out their division. They have only two remaining home games, which they will be favored in, and are expected to win. After that, one more win will get them the division title. It would be good to see them win their division road games at San Diego and Seattle to close out the season, as a sign of some strength.
Seattle's remaining schedule is their outside shot at making a run. They will need to win their next 5 for a chance at the division in week 19. Their schedule makes it possible. It also gives them a shot at a wild card spot, if the Texans can help them out.
I wouldn't count the Breakers out either, with their remaining schedule. They will have to beat Seattle in Seattle, and win on the road in San Antonio to get a leg up on a playoff contender.
The Express are looking for some competitive games to close out the year. They've been either blown out, or have pulled off upsets. That will probably be how they finish the year, but first, they have a game in Atlanta this week that should be competitive.

West
This division hold a lots of drama. The Colorado Arizona game this week will be massive. Arizona needs the win to even the head to head against the Cabras. Both teams also play Memphis, which will be a battle for the top seed in the Western Conference. Nothing is decided for these teams, as they can end up in the 1, 2, or 5 seed. Should be a great race.
The Atoms are also not out of it yet. Their last two wins have put them just a game behind the Texans in the wild card race. Their week 17 game at home against the Texans could be a big one. They will have some tough games though to finish the season, going to Baltimore, and home against Arizona and Colorado.
The Outlaws may not have a good record, but they have been competitive, and have pulled off some wins against teams like Baltimore and Oakland. They even kept the Norfolk game close this past week. Don't be surprised if they steal a win from a good team.
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Post  Untitled0717 Tue May 18, 2021 11:29 am

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-so10
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w114

Division Win%
CIN - 0.138%
PEN - 99.752%
TOR - 0.11%

ATL - 0.04%
JAX - 19.904%
LOU - <0.001%
LSV - 80.056%

BAL - 13.692%
MIA - 0.15%
NOR - 81.434%
WAS - 4.724%

DAL - <0.001%
MEM - 98.396%
SA - 1.604%

ABQ - 0.724%
ARZ - 63.854%
COL - 35.422%

LA - 0.06%
OAK - 92.192%
SD - 1.618%
SEA - 6.13%

ELIMINATED - LV, STL, WIS
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 99.092%
MEM - 48.904%
ARZ - 32.86%
COL - 14.63%
OAK - 3.198%
NOR - 0.648%
SA - 0.388%
CIN - 0.13%
TOR - 0.096%
BAL - 0.034%
ABQ - 0.02%
LA, SD, SEA, WAS - <0.001%
ATL, DAL, JAX, LV, LOU, LSV, MIA, STL, WIS- ELIMINATED

***WEEK 14 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
WAS Eliminated with loss or PEN win
BAL, CIN Eliminated with loss and PEN win
LA Eliminated with loss and COL-ARZ non-tie
SD Eliminated with loss and COL-ARZ non-tie or MEM win

Division Title
DAL Eliminated with loss or MEM win
ATL, LOU Eliminated with loss and LSV win
CIN Eliminated with loss and PEN win

Playoff Berth
STL Eliminated with loss and SA or ABQ win
LV Eliminated with loss and SA win
ATL, LOU Eliminated with loss and LSV win
PEN Clinches with win and BAL loss
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Post  rbronish Wed May 19, 2021 3:25 pm

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Post  Untitled0717 Tue May 25, 2021 2:52 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-2011
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w115

Division Win%
CIN - 0.062%
PEN - 99.89%
TOR - 0.048%

ATL - 0.166%
JAX - 18.546%
LOU - 0.002%
LSV - 81.286%

BAL - 1.842%
MIA - 0.01%
NOR - 92.374%
WAS - 5.774%

MEM - 99.922%
SA - 0.078%

ABQ - 1.722%
ARZ - 30.726%
COL - 67.552%

LA - 0.004%
OAK - 92.386%
SD - 1.08%
SEA - 6.53%

ELIMINATED - DAL, LV, STL, WIS
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 99.564%
MEM - 63.348%
COL - 21.034%
ARZ - 11.492%
OAK - 4.086%
NOR - 0.332%
CIN - 0.062%
TOR - 0.042%
ABQ - 0.026%
SA - 0.014%
SD, SEA - <0.001%
ATL, BAL, DAL, JAX, LV, LA, LOU, LSV, MIA, STL, WAS, WIS- ELIMINATED

***WEEK 15 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
CIN, TOR Eliminated with loss or PEN win
NOR Eliminated with loss and PEN win
SD, SEA Eliminated with loss or COL win or MEM win
SA Eliminated with loss or MEM win
ABQ Eliminated with loss and COL win
PEN Clinches with win and NOR loss

Division Title
CIN, TOR Eliminated with loss or PEN win
ATL Eliminated with loss
LOU Eliminated with loss or LSV win
MIA Eliminated with loss or NOR win
BAL Eliminated with loss and NOR win
SA Eliminated with loss and MEM win
ABQ Eliminated with loss and COL win
LA Eliminated with loss
SD, SEA Eliminated with loss and OAK win
PEN Clinches with win or CIN loss and TOR loss
MEM Clinches with win and SA loss

Playoff Berth
LOU Eliminated with loss or LSV win
ATL Eliminated with loss
LV Eliminated with loss or SA win or ABQ win
DAL Eliminated with loss
LA Eliminated with loss and SA win
COL Clinches with win
MEM Clinches with win and SA loss


Last edited by Untitled0717 on Thu May 27, 2021 1:39 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Fixed redundancy)
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Post  rbronish Tue May 25, 2021 4:31 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Pictur25
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Post  Austin Snelick Wed May 26, 2021 9:40 am

Snelick Index Power Rankings for Week 14

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 CmK3pxr

Lots of swaps between a couple of teams. Colorado jumping back ahead of Arizona was expected.

The biggest jump was Albuquerque, who jumped 4 spots. They have also closed in on a wild card spot, with their week 17 game against San Antonio shaping up to be a huge matchup.
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Post  rbronish Mon May 31, 2021 5:37 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Pictur26
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Post  Untitled0717 Mon May 31, 2021 8:43 pm

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w116

Division Win%
PEN - North Division Champions

ATL - 0.142%
JAX - 34.514%
LSV - 65.344%

BAL - 0.92%
NOR - 94.62%
WAS - 4.46%

MEM - 99.62%
SA - 0.38%

ABQ - 0.21%
ARZ - 59.372%
COL - 40.418%

OAK - 93.868%
SEA - 6.132%

ELIMINATED - CIN, DAL, LV, LA, LOU, MIA, SD, STL, TOR, WIS
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 98.892%
MEM - 47.032%
ARZ - 29.25%
COL - 15.286%
OAK - 8.378%
NOR - 1.108%
SA - 0.054%
ABQ, SEA - <0.001%
ATL, BAL, CIN, DAL, JAX, LV, LA, LOU, LSV, MIA, SD, STL, TOR, WAS, WIS - ELIMINATED

***WEEK 16 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
NOR Eliminated with loss and PEN win
SEA Eliminated with loss or COL win or MEM win or ARZ win
or loss and OAK win
ABQ Eliminated with loss or COL win or OAK win
SA Eliminated with loss and MEM win
PEN Clinches with win and NOR loss

Division Title
ATL Eliminated with loss and LSV win or JAX win
BAL Eliminated with loss or NOR win
WAS Eliminated with loss and NOR win
SEA Eliminated with loss and OAK win
ABQ Eliminated with loss or COL win
SA Eliminated with loss and MEM win
NOR Clinches with win and WAS loss
OAK Clinches with win and SEA loss
MEM Clinches with win and SA loss

Playoff Berth
ATL Eliminated with loss and LSV win or JAX win
MIA Eliminated with loss and WAS win
DAL Eliminated with loss or SA win
NOR Clinches with win and WAS loss
OAK Clinches with win and SEA loss
MEM Clinches with win and SA loss or ABQ loss
COL Clinches with win or ABQ loss
ARZ Clinches with win and ABQ loss


Last edited by Untitled0717 on Sun Jun 06, 2021 5:13 pm; edited 2 times in total (Reason for editing : or ABQ loss)
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 01, 2021 9:35 am

Snelick Index Power Rankings for Week 15

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 0HsmsPr

Norfolk moves up to #2 in the power rankings with their win, as they close in on a playoff spot.
Mostly no movement this week other than minor flip flops.
Seattle and San Antonio do move up some spots, while Albuquerque falls with a loss.
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 08, 2021 9:54 am

I'm having trouble getting images to upload to Imgur right now.

I'll update this post later when I get the image to upload.


Last edited by Austin Snelick on Tue Jun 08, 2021 9:58 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post  Untitled0717 Tue Jun 08, 2021 9:57 am

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Oak10
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Col10
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Mem10
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Nor10
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Gsl-w117

Division Win%
PEN - North Division Champions

JAX - 21.394%
LSV - 78.606%

NOR - East Division Champions

MEM - 99.854%
SA - 0.146%

ARZ - 59.794%
COL - 40.206%

OAK - Pacific Division Champions

ELIMINATED - ABQ, ATL, BAL, CIN, DAL, LV, LA, LOU, MIA, SD, SEA, STL, TOR, WAS, WIS
--------------------

#1 Seed%
PEN - 99.638%
MEM - 69.086%
ARZ - 12.642%
OAK - 11.002%
COL - 7.238%
NOR - 0.362%
SA - 0.032%
ABQ, ATL, BAL, CIN, DAL, JAX, LV, LA, LOU, LSV, MIA, SD, SEA, STL, TOR, WAS, WIS - ELIMINATED

***WEEK 17 SCENARIOS***
#1 Seed
NOR Eliminated with loss or PEN win
SA Eliminated with loss or MEM win
COL Eliminated with loss
PEN Clinches with win or NOR loss

Division Title
SA Eliminated with loss or MEM win
MEM Clinches with win or SA loss

Playoff Berth
MIA, WIS Eliminated with loss
SD, SEA Eliminated with loss or SA win
ABQ Eliminated with loss
CIN Clinches with win and BAL loss or WAS loss
ARZ Clinches with win or ABQ loss
SA Clinches with win
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 08, 2021 12:13 pm

Snelick Index Power Rankings for Week 16

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 ADaBpsk

The Knights and Eagles swap spots, as the Eagles drop to 10-5.
Baltimore moves up two spots, as they continue a good stretch of games.
Toronto drops three as they continue their implosion.
San Diego jumps three with a blowout win.
And some other minor changes throughout the league.


Playoff picture after week 16
Pennsylvania and Norfolk are division winners, although next week each team may clinch the #1 and #2 spots.
Oakland clinched their division, while Memphis and Colorado clinched playoff berths.

Full sized playoff picture graphic: https://i.imgur.com/rzqz6Xe.png
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 8NNJflB
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:13 am

Week 17 Snelick Index Power Rankings

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 FHHRtzD

This could be the final week where these power rankings formula will work correctly, with at least two teams resting some players next week, the top two teams being the two that have stated they'll rest players so far.


Here is a playoff scenarios and odds chart, based on teams currently resting teams. If Cincinnati decides to rest players, since they are locked into the 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, that will effect the odds in the CIN@JAX game in Week 18.

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 33DXtE4

These odds predict final win counts, but, it's just an odds calculation, so you might notice the predicted win totals don't quite add up. For example, for Baltimore, even though they have about a 75% chance to win each of their final two games, statistically that means they actually have about a 50% chance of losing one of those games, which means many teams are still in the playoff race, especially any team that beats Baltimore.

Also note that these win percentages will be subject to change, based on any team ranking changes after week 18, as this is based on current team rankings.

Current playoff picture (full sized image link: https://i.imgur.com/b2ztrwD.png)

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Hr7fhg7

I'll breakdown playoff scenarios in another post soon.
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:45 am

Week 18 Playoff Clinching Scenarios

Eastern Conference
Louisville can clinch the South division and 3 seed with a win and a Jacksonville loss
Baltimore can clinch a Wild Card spot and the 5 seed with a win and losses by Washington, Toronto, and Wisconsin

Western Conference
Oakland can clinch the 1 seed with a win and losses by Memphis and Arizona
Colorado can clinch the West division with a win and an Arizona loss
Memphis can clinch the Central division with a win or San Antonio loss



Paths to the Playoffs for Eastern Conference Teams

Louisville
1. Win vs Toronto in week 18 combined with Jacksonville loss in week 18
2. Win vs Jacksonville in week 19

Baltimore
1. Win vs Miami in week 18, and win vs Washington in week 19
2. Win one game combined with at least one loss by Miami, Washington, Toronto, and Wisconsin in weeks 18 and 19

Washington
1. Win vs Norfolk in week 18, win @ Baltimore in week 19
2. Win @ Baltimore in week 19, combined with Baltimore loss in week 18 and at least one loss by Miami, Toronto, and Wisconsin in weeks 18 and 19

Miami
1. Win @ Baltimore in week 18, win vs Norfolk in week 19, combined with at least one Washington loss in week 18 or 19

Toronto
1. Win @ Louisville in week 18, win vs Wisconsin in week 19, combined with at least one loss by Baltimore, Washington, and Miami in weeks 18 and 19

Wisconsin
1. Win @ Atlanta in week 18, win @ Toronto in week 19, combined with at least one loss by Baltimore, Washington, and Miami in weeks 18 and 19



Let me know if I missed a scenario.


Last edited by Austin Snelick on Wed Jun 16, 2021 7:17 am; edited 2 times in total
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Post  rbronish Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:40 pm

Austin Snelick wrote:
Memphis can clinch the Central division with a win

...or San Antonio loss
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Post  Untitled0717 Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:55 pm

About the #1 Seed for the West:

Oakland has the tiebreaker over Colorado and doesn't need a loss from them to clinch next week.
Colorado is eliminated with a loss or Oakland win.
Memphis and Arizona are eliminated with a loss and either an Oakland or Colorado win.
San Antonio gets the #1 Seed by winning out, having Memphis and Oakland lose out, and having Colorado and Arizona both lose at least once, which, according to the current rankings, has a 0.00259457% chance of happening.
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Post  rbronish Wed Sep 15, 2021 8:45 pm

Trying out a new template, and seeing how it looks on the boards

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Power_10
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Post  NeauXone Wed Sep 15, 2021 8:48 pm

rbronish wrote:Trying out a new template, and seeing how it looks on the boards

GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Power_10
This is cool. Just a couple of days ago I put together an off-season power rankings graphics that I haven't released because I'm looking into a new template.
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Post  NeauXone Thu Sep 16, 2021 4:15 am

Fox Sports' GSL power rankings, released ahead of the draft + free agency:
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Image_22
(this took hours to put together but now that I have a template we'll be good for the future)
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Post  Austin Snelick Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:34 am

Very nice!

Looks fantastic!

This might shake up the power rankings, but the way team rankings will be determined this year will be completely randomized again. No rankings from last year will have any effect on the rankings for 2022.
Think of it as, with the league adding 8 new teams to the season, all players enter a pool to be drafted by each team individually and randomly.

This might change for 2023, when the league will remain at 32 teams, but I'm not sure yet how I'll handle that. I do like the idea that any team has a chance to win in any given season, when the season starts.
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Post  NeauXone Thu Sep 16, 2021 1:28 pm

Austin Snelick wrote:Very nice!

Looks fantastic!

This might shake up the power rankings, but the way team rankings will be determined this year will be completely randomized again. No rankings from last year will have any effect on the rankings for 2022.
Think of it as, with the league adding 8 new teams to the season, all players enter a pool to be drafted by each team individually and randomly.

This might change for 2023, when the league will remain at 32 teams, but I'm not sure yet how I'll handle that. I do like the idea that any team has a chance to win in any given season, when the season starts.
I'm aware, we discussed what the plan would be going forward a few months back.
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Post  NeauXone Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:23 pm

Training camp is set to get underway for the league's 32 teams, which means it's time for another round of power rankings before the preseason games commence.
GSL Power Rankings Thread - 2021 - Page 2 Image_30
(given the information we just got, I tried to make it so there would be some teams ranked high that would be "expected" to perform but will likely drop as the season goes on, same goes for teams ranked low that rise through the ranks. Adds a layer of realism)
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Post  Austin Snelick Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:40 pm

Awesome!

I think I may retire this thread, as a 2021 thread, and start a new one for 2022 power rankings, to keep the seasons separated.
You can copy and paste this post to the new thread, if you'd like.

And, the Bluebirds did change their logo for 2022.
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