2023 Playoff Clinch and Elimination Scenarios

Week 14

East Division
BOS is knocked out of division title contention with BOS L and NY W

Atlantic Division
JAX clinches division title with CAR L and JAX W
MIA is knocked out of division title contention with MIA L or JAX W
CAR is knocked out of division title contention with CAR L and JAX W

Central Division
BIR clinches division title with LSV L and BIR W
LSV is knocked out of division title contention with LSV L and BIR W
LOU is knocked out of division title contention with LOU L or BIR W

Eastern Conference
NY clinches playoff berth with NY W and LSV L and BOS L
BIR clinches playoff berth with BIR W and LSV L and BOS L
TOR clinches playoff berth with TOR W and LSV L and BOS L
CIN is eliminated from playoff contention with CIN L and LSV W and BOS W
ATL is eliminated from playoff contention with (ATL L + BOS W) or LSV W
MON is eliminated from playoff contention with MON L or LSV W or BOS W


West Division
LA clinches division title with LV L and LA W
SL is knocked out of division title contention with SL L
LV is knocked out of division title contention with LV L and LA W

South Division
DAL is knocked out of division title contention with DAL L and ARZ W

Western Conference
MEM clinches playoff berth with MEM W and SL L and LV L
SD is eliminated from playoff contention with SD L and SL W and LV W


Eliminated
WAS
SA
POR
VAN
STL
DAL

Awesome, thanks for putting this together!

I need to start updating the standings to show which teams have been eliminated from the playoffs, and which teams have clinched a playoff spot.
As of now, I don't think any playoff spots have been secured, as in both conferences, the best record is 10-2 and the #8 teams are both 7-5, and can surpass the top teams.
In the Western Conference, all 3-9 team are eliminated, since Vegas and Salt Lake play each other week 17, meaning one of those team will at worst finish 8-8.

This brings up something for teams to prepare for.
Once your team wins a division, start getting your playoff field designs ready. It'll be better for me to start getting them ready for the website as soon as I can, with how busy I've been lately. I've been adding texture to the playoff fields recently, so that extra lead time helps.

We;ve gone from 4th, to 3rd in the North divisson. Only makes sense we will finish 2nd this season.

Seattle has a habbit of falling apart at the end of the season, and missing the playoffs. Maybe with our remaining schedule we won't collapse this year. Helps that Las Vegas and Salt Lake play eachother, so one of those teams will have another loss.

I have the playoff bracket ready to go. Just need to fill it up!

CarterB2 wrote:

Austin Snelick wrote:This brings up something for teams to prepare for.
Once your team wins a division, start getting your playoff field designs ready. It'll be better for me to start getting them ready for the website as soon as I can, with how busy I've been lately. I've been adding texture to the playoff fields recently, so that extra lead time helps.

This might seem really cocky but I got my playoff field designs finished at the start of the season. And btw it's just a coincidence.

I made six and I already know which one I'm using (assuming we make the playoffs).

Feel free to email it to me if you want.
If the CityHawks blow the division title, then I can still share a textured "what if" version of the playoff field.

So, is SLC now eliminated from the playoffs?

Drew Abernathy wrote:So, is SLC now eliminated from the playoffs?

No. Only from division title contention.

With a win today, the LA Express have won the West Division title (they would win out the 11-5 tiebreaker with LV via division record)


Several other teams, including NY, BIR, TOR, JAX, OAK (I believe all these teams) will have a chance to lock up their divisions next week.

Memphis has secured a playoff spot, but Kansas City can win the Heartland division if they win out, even if Memphis wins their next two games.

I see I mistakenly eliminated the Dallas Regulators, but, they can still win the South division.
Dallas can win the division if they win out, and they finish with the same record or better than Arizona and Albuquerque.

Dallas can also win the division if they lose the next game vs Wisconsin, then win out, and finish with the same or better record than Arizona and Albuquerque. This would be based on division record, and because they play Albuquerque and Arizona the final two weeks.

Austin Snelick wrote:With a win today, the LA Express have won the West Division title (they would win out the 11-5 tiebreaker with LV via division record)


Several other teams, including NY, BIR, TOR, JAX, OAK (I believe all these teams) will have a chance to lock up their divisions next week.

Memphis has secured a playoff spot, but Kansas City can win the Heartland division if they win out, even if Memphis wins their next two games.

Can we get a banner for winning the number 1 overall pick race?

Week 15

East Division
NY clinches division title with:
1: NY W
BAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: BAL L
2: NY W
BOS is knocked out of division title contention with
1: BOS L

North Division
TOR clinches division title with
1: TOR W and WIS L

Atlantic Division
JAX clinches division title with
1: JAX W
2: CAR L
CAR is knocked out of division title contention with
1: CAR L
2: JAX W


Central Division
BIR clinches division title with
1: BIR W
2: LSV L
LSV is knocked out of division title contention with
1: LSV L
2: BIR W


Eastern Conference
NY clinches playoff berth with
1: LSV L and BAL L
BIR clinches playoff berth with
1: BOS L and BAL L
TOR clinches playoff berth with
1: TOR W
2: BAL L
3: LSV L
4: BOS L
LOU is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: LOU L and BAL W
2: LOU L and BOS W
PEN is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: PEN L and LSV W
2: PEN L and BOS W
MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: MIA L
2: LSV W and BAL W
3: BOS W and BAL W
4: LSV W and BOS W
CAR is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: CAR L
2: LSV W and BAL W
3: BOS W and BAL W
4: LSV W and BOS W


West Division
LA has clinched West Division title

South Division
DAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: DAL L and ARZ W

Western Conference
KC clinches playoff berth with
1: KC W
2: SL L
COL is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: COL L and SEA W and LV W
ABQ is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: ABQ L
2: SEA W and LV W


Eliminated
WAS
SA
POR
VAN
STL
DAL (Still alive for division title)
ATL
MON
CIN
SD

rbronish wrote:Week 15

East Division
NY clinches division title with:
1: NY W
BAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: BAL L
2: NY W
BOS is knocked out of division title contention with
1: BOS L

North Division
TOR clinches division title with
1: TOR W and WIS L

Atlantic Division
JAX clinches division title with
1: JAX W
2: MIA L and CAR L
MIA is knocked out of division title contention with
1: MIA L
2: JAX W
CAR is knocked out of division title contention with
1: CAR L
2: JAX W


Central Division
BIR clinches division title with
1: BIR W
2: LSV L
LSV is knocked out of division title contention with
1: LSV L
2: BIR W


Eastern Conference
NY clinches playoff berth with
1: LSV L and BAL L
BIR clinches playoff berth with
1: BOS L and BAL L
TOR clinches playoff berth with
1: TOR W
2: BAL L
3: LSV L
4: BOS L
LOU is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: LOU L and BAL W
2: LOU L and BOS W
PEN is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: PEN L and LSV W
2: PEN L and BOS W
MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: MIA L
2: LSV W and BAL W
3: BOS W and BAL W
4: LSV W and BOS W
CAR is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: CAR L
2: LSV W and BAL W
3: BOS W and BAL W
4: LSV W and BOS W


West Division
LA has clinched West Division title

South Division
DAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: DAL L and ARZ W

Western Conference
KC clinches playoff berth with
1: KC W
2: SL L
COL is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: COL L and SEA W and LV W
ABQ is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: ABQ L
2: SEA W and LV W


Eliminated
WAS
SA
POR
VAN
STL
DAL (Still alive for division title)
ATL
MON
CIN
SD

Just a small correction but Jacksonville already swept Miami so wouldn’t Miami be out of contention since they can’t pass us?

A three-way tie at 8-8 between Jacksonville, Miami and Carolina removes head to head record. Said tie would give Jacksonville and Miami a 3-3 division record, and Carolina 4-2. So it looks like you’re right for a different reason, and I’ll be making the correction.

New York has earned their division championship banner:


Along with Birmingham:

I already have a playoff field template for New York, so they should be ready to go for their playoff game.
I will need one from Birmingham, now that it's confirmed that they will be hosting a playoff game.

Some other teams should be preparing playoff fields as well. There are several teams close: Toronto and Jacksonville are likely division champs. Oakland wins the division with a win next week. Memphis and Kansas City should both have field ideas prepared, but that division could go down to the final game of the season, and then we have Arizona and Albuquerque, whose division might not be decided until week 17 as well. Since I add texture to the fields for the playoffs, the earlier I can get the designs, the more likely it is I'll be able to get the fields up by game day.

CMIIW, Jacksonville has clinched the division title since they’ve swept Miami

Who gets the primetime game week 17?
If the Heartland division championship comes down to that last week, Kansas City @ Memphis would be a great game. It's already been moved to 6:00PM, so 8:15PM is another easy move ot make.

rbronish wrote:CMIIW, Jacksonville has clinched the division title since they’ve swept Miami

Correct, Jacksonville has clinched the 4 seed in the Eastern Conference.
Miami and Louisiana will be eliminated, by conference record, in a 3+ way tie with Baltimore/Boston.

Jacksonville has earned their division title banner:

Frank wrote:Who gets the primetime game week 17?
If the Heartland division championship comes down to that last week, Kansas City @ Memphis would be a great game. It's already been moved to 6:00PM, so 8:15PM is another easy move ot make.

IF, the Kansas City @ Memphis game ends up being a defacto divisional title game, then yes, that would move to 8:15PM as the season ending Sunday night game.
Looking at the rest of the week 17 schedule, the only other game that might qualify is Las Vegas @ Salt Lake, IF, that is a win and in game. But that does depend on what Seattle does next week, and what Vegas and Salt Lake do next week. Seattle and Oakland are playing in what is basically a division championship game for Oakland next week. If Oakland wins, Seattle could be out of the wild card race, id Vegas and Salt Lake win next week.

So, we shall see, but Kansas City @ Memphis looks like the likely candidate. That's also a good game because now, with the LA loss this past weekend, Memphis could be playing for the #1 seed if they win, but if Kansas City wins, LA, if (13-3) would (I think) get the #1 seed over Kansas City via strength of victory (assuming I'm doing my math correctly). And again, all that depends on all teams winning next week, and LA winning week 17. If all teams lose next week, then strength of victory may change, but I think it would still be in LA's favor over KC.

Week 16

East Division
NY has clinched East Division title

North Division
TOR clinches division title with
1: TOR W or
2: WIS L

Atlantic Division
JAX has clinched Atlantic Division title

Central Division
BIR has clinched Central Division title

Eastern Conference
TOR has clinched playoff berth
WIS clinches playoff berth with
1: WIS W or
2: BAL L or
3: BOS L
LSV clinches playoff berth with
1: LSV W or
2: BOS L
BAL clinches playoff berth with
1: BAL W and BOS L
BOS is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: BOS L and BAL W
PEN is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: BAL W or
2: PEN L and BOS W

Pacific Division
OAK clinches division title with
1: OAK W
SEA is knocked out of division title contention with
1: SEA L

West Division
LA has clinched West Division title

South Division
DAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: DAL L or
2: ARZ W

Heartland Division
MEM clinches division title with
1: MEM W and KC L
KC is knocked out of division title contention with
1: KC L and MEM W

Western Conference
MEM has clinched playoff berth
KC has clinched playoff berth
LV clinches playoff berth with
1: LV W and SL L or
2: LV W and SEA L
COL is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: COL L or
2: SL W or
3: SEA W
ABQ is eliminated from playoff contention with
1: ABQ L or
2: SL W or
3: SEA W

Eliminated
MIA
LOU
CAR
CIN
ATL
MON
WAS
STL
SD
VAN
DAL
SA
POR

rbronish wrote:Week 16

LSV clinches playoff berth with
1: LSV W and BAL L or
2: LSV W and BOS L

Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't a LSV win clinch a playoff berth regardless of anything else? From that point BOS could only tie us in record and we have the head to head tiebreaker over them.

- If Louisville wins, they will have at least 10 wins.
- If Baltimore and Boston win all of their remaining games they will tie at 10-6.
- In a 3-way tie at 10-6 Baltimore drops out Boston on division record 4-2/3-3, and beats Louisville on conference record 9-3/8-4. Baltimore clinches playoff berth. Louisville beats Boston H2H 1-0. Louisville clinches playoff berth.

Yes, LSV clinches this week with a LSV W or BOS L

Week 17

East Division
NY has clinched East Division title

North Division
TOR has clinched North Division title

Atlantic Division
JAX has clinched Atlantic Division title and #4 seed

Central Division
BIR has clinched Central Division title and SOV tiebreaker over TOR for #2 seed

Eastern Conference
NY clinches #1 seed with
1: NY W or
2: TOR L
TOR clinches #1 seed with
1: TOR W and NY L
WIS has clinched playoff berth and #5 seed
LSV has clinched playoff berth
BAL has clinched playoff berth and H2H tiebreaker over LSV

Possible Seeds
1: NY, TOR
2: TOR, NY, BIR
3: BIR, TOR
4: JAX
5: WIS
6: LSV, BAL
7: BAL, LSV


Pacific Division
OAK has clinched Pacific Division title and #3 seed

West Division
LA has clinched West Division title

South Division
ARZ clinches division title with
1: ARZ W
ABQ clinches division titile with
1: ABQ W and ARZ L
DAL clinches division title with
1: DAL W and ABQ L
DAL is knocked out of division title contention with
1: DAL L or
2: ABQ W
ABQ is knocked out of division title contention with
1: ABQ L or
2: ARZ W
ARZ is knocked out of division title contention with
1: ARZ L and ABQ W

Heartland Division
MEM clinches division title with
1: MEM W
KC clinches division title with
1: KC W
KC is knocked out of division title contention with
1: KC L
MEM is knocked out of division title contention with
1: MEM L

Western Conference
MEM clinches #1 seed with
1: MEM W
KC clinches #1 seed with
1: KC W and LA L or
2: KC W and KC clinches SOV over LA
LA clinches #1 seed with
1: LA W and KC W and LA clinches SOV over KC
LV has clinched playoff berth
SL has clinched playoff berth

Possible Seeds
1: MEM, KC, LA
2: LA, KC, MEM
3: OAK
4: ARZ, ABQ, DAL
5: KC, MEM
6: LV, SL
7: SL, LV

Eliminated
BOS
PEN
MIA
LOU
CAR
CIN
ATL
MON
WAS
SEA
COL
ABQ
STL
SD
VAN
DAL
SA
POR

Two more division title banners earned this week.

Second straight for Toronto:


And third straight for Oakland:

The week 17 Kansas City Buffaloes @ Memphis Demons game has officially been moved from 6:00PM EDT to 8:15PM EDT to take the Sunday Night Football slot, as the defacto Heartland Division Championship.

The #1 seed comes down to SOV if Kansas City and Los Angeles both win.
Currently, LA edges KC 85-75 in wins.
KC 75 LA 85
MEM 13 SL 9
SL 9 ARZ 6
STL 6 SEA 8
MIA 6 BAL 9
JAX 8 DAL 5
SEA 8 SD 4
COL 7 WAS 3
SA 2 NY 13
STL 6 COL 7
VAN 3 LV 10
CAR 5 SL 9
POR 2 SA 2

If KC defeats Memphis and LA defeats San Diego as the scenario calls for, that edge drops to LA 89-88 KC.
KC 88 LA 89
MEM 13 SL 9
SL 9 ARZ 6
STL 6 SEA 8
MIA 6 BAL 9
JAX 8 DAL 5
SEA 8 SD 4
COL 7 WAS 3
SA 2 NY 13
STL 6 COL 7
VAN 3 LV 10
CAR 5 SL 9
POR 2 SA 2
MEM 13 SD 4

This means that KC needs to net 2 victories over LA to clinch SOV. LA will automatically receive 3 victories from the BAL/NY, DAL/ARZ, and LV/SL matchups. KC will automatically gain a victory with the CAR/JAX matchup. KC would need to net 4 victories in the remaining games.

KC must get a victory each from Miami, Portland, Vancouver, and Saint Louis in the unlikeliest parlay ever since LA can only pick up one more victory with Washington.

rbronish wrote:The #1 seed comes down to SOV if Kansas City and Los Angeles both win.
Currently, LA edges KC 85-75 in wins.
KC 75 LA 85
MEM 13 SL 9
SL 9 ARZ 6
STL 6 SEA 8
MIA 6 BAL 9
JAX 8 DAL 5
SEA 8 SD 4
COL 7 WAS 3
SA 2 NY 13
STL 6 COL 7
VAN 3 LV 10
CAR 5 SL 9
POR 2 SA 2

If KC defeats Memphis and LA defeats San Diego as the scenario calls for, that edge drops to LA 89-88 KC.
KC 88 LA 89
MEM 13 SL 9
SL 9 ARZ 6
STL 6 SEA 8
MIA 6 BAL 9
JAX 8 DAL 5
SEA 8 SD 4
COL 7 WAS 3
SA 2 NY 13
STL 6 COL 7
VAN 3 LV 10
CAR 5 SL 9
POR 2 SA 2
MEM 13 SD 4

This means that KC needs to net 2 victories over LA to clinch SOV. LA will automatically receive 3 victories from the BAL/NY, DAL/ARZ, and LV/SL matchups. KC will automatically gain a victory with the CAR/JAX matchup. KC would need to net 4 victories in the remaining games.

KC must get a victory each from Miami, Portland, Vancouver, and Saint Louis in the unlikeliest parlay ever since LA can only pick up one more victory with Washington.

I can foresee a scenario where everything happens that needs to for KC, in the most improbably fashion, and the #1 seed is there for the taking... then Memphis blows them out Sunday night

Arizona really blew that division championship 3-peat to end the season. Went 0-6 down the stretch, when only 1 win would have been enough to clinch the division, in the end.

Kansas City almost got their SOV parlay. Portland and Vancouver damn near pulled it off. We were mere seconds away from a 6-10 division winner too. That can’t sit well with Seattle.

Final two division championship banners.

Albuquerque


And Kansas City

Playoff bracket is set!

Austin Snelick wrote:
And Kansas City

So good to see this up on our home page! Two more banners to go this season! Go Buffs!!