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Week 1 - 2022

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Post  Austin Snelick Wed Feb 16, 2022 7:13 am

Week 1 - 2022 2022-02-16-1

The wait for the 2022 GSL season is almost over with the first game of the GSL regular season kicking off Thursday evening. Let’s take a look at the games coming up in week 1.

Thursday February 17, 2022 - 8:15PM
(0-0) San Antonio Texans at (0-0) Arizona Eagles
Line: SA -3
O/U: 45
Win Pct: SA 55.9%
The 2022 GSL season kicks off at the home of the defending champion Arizona Eagles. It’ll be a good week 1 matchup as the improved Texans look to take revenge after being knocked out of the playoffs in the divisional round last season at Arizona. The Texans are favorites to bring home the win in what should be a good game to get the year underway.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Albuquerque Atoms at (0-0) Dallas Regulators
Line: EVEN
O/U: 45.5
Win Pct: ABQ 51.7%
This should be a fun game to keep track of, as the Atoms square off against the expansion Regulators in an evenly matched game.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Atlanta Flying Fleet at (0-0) Miami Sol
Line: MIA -5
O/U: 47.5
Win Pct: MIA 62.2%
Although the Flying Fleet have made some improvements this offseason, the oddsmakers still don’t seem to be taking Atlanta seriously in this one. The Sol come into this game as decent favorites, but don’t take this Atlanta team lightly.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Boston Bobcats at (0-0) Toronto Terror
Line: TOR -3
O/U: 45.5
Win Pct: TOR 57.9%
The expansion Bobcats will begin their first game that counts in Canada, as they take on the Terror. Boston’s main goal will be to avoid having the Toronto offense terrorize their secondary, or this could be a long day. The Boston run game will be big in terms of managing the game and the clock.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Cincinnati Knights at (0-0) Louisville Lightning
Line: CIN -5
O/U: 51.5
Win Pct: CIN 62.9%
This is a big matchup for either team that will set the tone for the Central division in the 2022 season. The Knights are coming into the year with big expectations, but the Lightning are coming hungry. This should be a fun, high scoring game to keep track of with a couple of talented QBs.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Kansas City Buffaloes at (0-0) St. Louis Brewers
Line: STL -8
O/U: 40
Win Pct: STL 69.7%
This game is shaping up to be a rude introduction to the GSL for the Buffaloes. On the road in St. Louis, the Brewers are expecting to man handle the Kansas City offense with their strong defensive front. Not a good matchup for the Buffaloes weak O-line.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Louisiana Royals at (0-0) Birmingham Owls
Line: LOU -9.5
O/U: 46.5
Win Pct: LOU 74.0%
The Owls will be another expansion team expected to take a beating in week 1. The Royals are coming into the year as one of the better looking teams, and are going to make it hard for the Owls to keep up. With talent on both offense and defense, Louisiana can win in multiple ways. The Owls are going to have to find a way to keep this game close to avoid having this game get ugly.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Pennsylvania Keystones at (0-0) Baltimore Bluebirds
Line: PEN -4.5
O/U: 46.5
Win Pct: PEN 61.2%
The league's best regular season team from 2021 will head to Baltimore, where they lost their only game before the playoffs. The Keystones have lost some of their best defensive stars, but they do still match up well against a poor Baltimore team.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Washington Stars at (0-0) Chicago Maroons
Line: CHI -1.5
O/U: 47.5
Win Pct: CHI 52.8%
Being the home team helps the Maroons out a little bit in terms of being favorites in this one. Let’s see how the home field advantage actually looks for this new franchise first though. These two teams are going to be pretty evenly matched, and this game could be important for conference standings later down the road.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 1:00PM
(0-0) Wisconsin Stags at (0-0) New York CityHawks
Line: WIS -2
O/U: 48
Win Pct: WIS 55.4%
Another game that looks like it’ll be a good one this week, and again, may have playoff repercussions towards the end of the year. The Stags and CityHawks are a fairly balanced teams, but Wisconsin has the slight edge in this one.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 4:30PM
(0-0) Memphis Demons at (0-0) Colorado Cabras
Line: EVEN
O/U: 49
Win Pct: MEM 51.2%
This is another tossup game for this week. In this divisional matchup, we’ll see how well the Memphis offense can do against the Colorado defense. This game could come down to the wire, with the winner getting off to a good start in the Heartland division.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 4:30PM
(0-0) Oakland Icons at (0-0) San Diego Breakers
Line: SD -2
O/U: 44.5
Win Pct: SD 54.7%
The Icons will make the trip down the coast to take on the Breakers in this matchup. San Diego comes in as slight favorites. The Icons will have a strong defense again this year, and are hoping their offense doesn’t get in the way as they did last season. San Diego will again have a good offense, and they have made some improvements on defense that they hope will pay off.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 4:30PM
(0-0) Seattle Sockeyes at (0-0) Los Angeles Express
Line: LA -2
O/U: 48
Win Pct: LA 54.4%
The Sockeyes and Express both have some fun offenses to watch in this one. In another tight looking game, the Express are just 2 point favorites at home in a game that may come down to who has the ball last.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 4:30PM
(0-0) Salt Lake Trappers at (0-0) Vancouver Bears
Line: SL -3
O/U: 47.5
Win Pct: SL 57.8%
Rounding off the afternoon slate will be the Trappers taking on the expansion Bears. Salt Lake will come in as road favorites and a strong ground game. They will want to avoid making mistakes against an opportunistic Bears defense. The play of the Bears offense may be what decides this one, as a unit that could go either way this season.

Sunday February 20, 2022 - 8:15PM
(0-0) Jacksonville Captains at (0-0) Carolina Reapers
Line: JAX -6.5
O/U: 46.5
Win Pct: JAX 66.2%
The first Sunday night matchup of the season heads to Carolina, where the relocated Reapers (formerly the Norfolk Commanders) will host the Jacksonville Captains. The Captains are looking like strong favorites in the Atlantic division this season, and they start their divisional slate in Charlotte. As one of the bigger favorites of the weekend, the Captains are looking to start the year with some smooth sailing.

Monday February 21, 2022 - 8:15PM
(0-0) Las Vegas Outlaws at (0-0) Portland Samurais
Line: LV -5
O/U: 42
Win Pct: LV 62.8%
The week wraps up in Portland, as the former Dallas Diesel play their first regular season game as the Portland Samurais. In what looks to be one of the more low scoring games of the week, the Outlaws bring with them a strong defense that could take control of this game, as long as their offense doesn’t let them down. The key for Portland will be sticking to the run game and ending scoring drives with touchdowns and not field goals.
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Post  Appleman20 Wed Feb 16, 2022 10:43 am

I'm surprised that Cincinnati is the favorite but going to be a good game. I can't wait for week 1.
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Post  Austin Snelick Wed Feb 16, 2022 2:38 pm

Appleman20 wrote:I'm surprised that Cincinnati is the favorite but going to be a good game. I can't wait for week 1.  

I wasn't so surprised in the Knights being favorites, but they're pretty decent favorites going into this week. I thought the line would be closer, especially with Louisville at home. Miami is also a bigger favorite than I thought they'd be.

Since this question might come up, I'm getting the lines and win percentages differently this year as well, since I have a different simulation method. I just have a little program that simulates a game 1,000 times, and the line is the average margin of victory for the favorite, and win percentage is of course, the percentage of times the favorite won in the 1,000 simulations.

Looking further at the Cincinnati at Louisville game then, Cincinnati won 62.9% of the games in my 1,000 simulations, and the average score for each team would have been CIN 28 - LSV 23.
That still leaves Louisville with a 37.1% chance of winning, which isn't bad. Especially considering some of the win probabilities from last season, where 4.5 point favorite had an average win percentage over 70%. So the underdogs have better odds of pulling off upsets this season, and we likely won't see the best team dominate their games like the Keystones did last season.
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Post  rbronish Wed Feb 16, 2022 6:05 pm

Quick question...Is the neutral line still 3 points in favor of the visiting team?
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Post  Rafael Menoncin Wed Feb 16, 2022 6:28 pm

Note on the Seattle @ LA Game:
Early this afternoon I was watching the LA Rams Super Bowl parade that was held at the LA memorial coliseum plaza, I notice that the surface of the stadium has not recovered from the NASCAR  race that happened a few weeks ago, there still a lot of dirt on the surface and no grass, if the league decides to follow a real life based schedule, the game could be moved to the nearby Bank of California Stadium or even the Rose Bowl. The Coliseum should be ready by the end of the mounth when the LA Giltinis Rugby team will host some games at the stadium,  so there will be some grass again :-P
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Post  Untitled0717 Wed Feb 16, 2022 7:04 pm

I was wondering if ties are possible in this simulation or not, as well as if teams will still randomly change offensive and defensive (and special teams?) rankings like last year.
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Post  Austin Snelick Wed Feb 16, 2022 9:46 pm

rbronish wrote:Quick question...Is the neutral line still 3 points in favor of the visiting team?

It actually varies from team to team, but on average the home team does have an advantage. I don't know all the numbers, but I guess we'll find some out as the season goes along.
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Post  Austin Snelick Wed Feb 16, 2022 9:47 pm

Untitled0717 wrote:I was wondering if ties are possible in this simulation or not, as well as if teams will still randomly change offensive and defensive (and special teams?) rankings like last year.

Ties are possible, and yes, teams can still randomly get better / worse throughout the year.
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Post  Austin Snelick Thu Feb 17, 2022 10:14 am

Rafael Menoncin wrote:Note on the Seattle @ LA Game:
Early this afternoon I was watching the LA Rams Super Bowl parade that was held at the LA memorial coliseum plaza, I notice that the surface of the stadium has not recovered from the NASCAR  race that happened a few weeks ago, there still a lot of dirt on the surface and no grass, if the league decides to follow a real life based schedule, the game could be moved to the nearby Bank of California Stadium or even the Rose Bowl. The Coliseum should be ready by the end of the mounth when the LA Giltinis Rugby team will host some games at the stadium,  so there will be some grass again :-P

Or, the game could move to SoFi (because it would be fun to play on the Super Bowl field).
But typically in situations like these, as stated last year with the AT&T stadium situation, the GSL games would have been scheduled prior to other events, and in GSL world, the Express with a scheduled home game would have changed other stadium events.
Given the "Clash at the Coliseum" being a big event Fox wanted to sell, that could have happened anyways, and with many stadiums in the area, LA could have found plenty of time to move.

Most likely, the move would have been to the Rose Bowl, but SoFi on the Super Bowl field would be fun.
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Post  rbronish Fri Feb 18, 2022 7:43 pm

In case anyone is interested in Fantasy numbers

Passing ATT COMP YDS TD INT
Reynolds 25 16 204 2 2
ARZQB1 24 19 257 2 1

Rushing ATT YDS TD FUM
Bradly 26 56 0 2
Young 6 11 0 0
Reynolds 3 -14 0 0
ARZRB1 24 157 0 0
ARZRB2 1 26 1 0
ARZRB3 5 35 0 0
ARZQB1 5 11 0 0

Receiving TAR REC YDS TD FUM
Michaels 12 11 133 1 0
Henry Jr. 6 5 60 1 0
Cleveland 3 1 2 0 0
Howard 2 1 14 0 0
ARZWR1 9 8 118 1 1
ARZWR2 7 6 106 1 0
ARZWR3 4 3 18 0 0
ARZWR4 3 2 15 0 0

Kicking ATT FG PAT
Dahlman 1 1 2
ARZK 3 2 5

Defense SACK FUM REC INT TD
SADST 0 0 1 0
ARZDST 3 2 2 1
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Post  NeauXone Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:26 pm

Texans couldn't run the ball and Reynolds made some really untimely mistakes. I'm not expecting this to happen often this season for SA but this was rough.
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Post  Austin Snelick Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:56 pm

rbronish wrote:In case anyone is interested in Fantasy numbers

Passing ATT COMP YDS TD INT
Reynolds 25 16 204 2 2
ARZQB1 24 19 257 2 1

Rushing ATT YDS TD FUM
Bradly 26 56 0 2
Young 6 11 0 0
Reynolds 3 -14 0 0
ARZRB1 24 157 0 0
ARZRB2 1 26 1 0
ARZRB3 5 35 0 0
ARZQB1 5 11 0 0

Receiving TAR REC YDS TD FUM
Michaels 12 11 133 1 0
Henry Jr. 6 5 60 1 0
Cleveland 3 1 2 0 0
Howard 2 1 14 0 0
ARZWR1 9 8 118 1 1
ARZWR2 7 6 106 1 0
ARZWR3 4 3 18 0 0
ARZWR4 3 2 15 0 0

Kicking ATT FG PAT
Dahlman 1 1 2
ARZK 3 2 5

Defense SACK FUM REC INT TD
SADST 0 0 1 0
ARZDST 3 2 2 1

My hope is I get actual player names in the play by play by the end of the year. There are a couple of things I still need to work out for that, but I have some ideas in mind. It would be pretty cool down the road to have some sort of ability for fantasy down the road, so I think that should be a goal for me and the league for next season (although, I can't participate for obvious reasons). But I'm hoping by the end of the year we have actual player names from team rosters in the play by play (for teams that have rosters).
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Post  Austin Snelick Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:58 pm

NeauXone wrote:Texans couldn't run the ball and Reynolds made some really untimely mistakes. I'm not expecting this to happen often this season for SA but this was rough.

Yeah, kind of surprising to me, but look at that stat sheet; 157 yards rushing on 24 carries for Arizona RB1. That's a good stat line there. Makes an offense hard to stop, especially when the Eagles backed that up with 2 100+ yard receivers in this game.
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Post  Appleman20 Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:33 pm

How do I press the defense button?
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Post  NeauXone Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:39 pm

Appleman20 wrote:How do I press the defense button?
Found myself wishing I could do this last year. Our defense was so bad.
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Post  Appleman20 Sun Feb 20, 2022 1:42 pm

NeauXone wrote:
Appleman20 wrote:How do I press the defense button?
Found myself wishing I could do this last year. Our defense was so bad.

yea your game is close right now while I'm bout to be losing 21-0 to my favorite city lol
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Post  NeauXone Sun Feb 20, 2022 3:23 pm

Birmingham just pulled off the heist of the year. Week 1 - 2022 1f633
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Feb 20, 2022 3:36 pm

NeauXone wrote:Birmingham just pulled off the heist of the year.  Week 1 - 2022 1f633

Wow.

Last I checked was 24-0 in the third. Looks like in my play by play database I put New Orleans in in stead of Louisiana by mistake. At least I got the city correct.
The Dallas game seems to have run into an issue, I'm assuming related to their team_id being DR internally, and DAL on the web facing end. I've fixed this error a couple other places, so I think I can fix that one easily as well.
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Feb 20, 2022 3:56 pm

Still not sure what the deal is with the Dallas game, but the final score is posted, but not play by play.
Final was 20 to 10 Albuquerque. I do have the play by play stored internally, so there should be a way for me to get that displayed. *** EDIT *** Play by play is up now.

My worry is we will have the same issue with the Memphis game if I can't figure that one out (with the name change, their internal identifier also changed to MPS, while externally you all see MEM).
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Post  NeauXone Sun Feb 20, 2022 4:52 pm

OAK-SD, MEM-COL, and SEA-LA all have yet to start.
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Feb 20, 2022 5:28 pm

NeauXone wrote:OAK-SD, MEM-COL, and SEA-LA all have yet to start.

That was a result of earlier changes I had made.

It took a little bit of detective work, but I think I tracked out all the issues getting the live games up for Dallas and Memphis. The Memphis-Colorado game is now showing live play by play.
There may be a chance the game doesn't end correctly, but that's not as big a deal at the moment.
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Post  Appleman20 Sun Feb 20, 2022 5:30 pm

NeauXone wrote:Birmingham just pulled off the heist of the year.  Week 1 - 2022 1f633

Yes, we did lol. 4th Quater team lol
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Post  Untitled0717 Sun Feb 20, 2022 6:58 pm

Apparently fullbacks and tight-ends are considered obsolete in these newfangled offenses. That, or they're used for blocking only.
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Feb 20, 2022 8:16 pm

Untitled0717 wrote:Apparently fullbacks and tight-ends are considered obsolete in these newfangled offenses. That, or they're used for blocking only.

Don't take the RB and WR roles too literally, they're just placeholders. RB is just a fill in for a player running the ball, and WR is just a fill in for a player making a catch.
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