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GSL 2021 Week 10

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Rob Holecko
Patrick Davis
Austin Snelick
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Post  Austin Snelick Thu Apr 22, 2021 9:58 am

Week 10 kicks off tonight with the Eagles at the Bluebirds. Only 9 games this week, as 6 teams are on bye. This will pretty much signal the half way point for most teams this week.
Teams on bye: Cincinnati, Toronto, Dallas, Memphis, San Antonio, St. Louis

ARZ @ BAL 4/22 8:15PM
The Bluebirds are ever so slight favorites in this one, and they'll need it to climb back into the wild card race. The Eagles are trying to keep their slight edge over Colorado in the West, which they lead by point differential at the moment.
BAL -0.5
o/u 55.5

WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

COL @ WAS 4/25 1:00PM
In this week's game of the week, we see the Cabras, who are essentially tied for first in the West, and really, the Western Conference, head to DC to take on a Stars team that started hot, and has now been back and fourth the past couple weeks. The Stars are favored in this one.
WAS -5.5
o/u 35.5

LV @ MIA 4/25 1:00PM
The Outlaws got a big win last week, while the Sol squeezed on out. But hey, two bad teams on a winning streak isn't too bad for them. This game is up for grabs, as Miami is a small favorite at home.
MIA -0.5
o/u 40.5

ATL @ OAK 4/25 4:30PM
Oakland barely got the win last week in ABQ, but a win is a win, and they're sitting in the number two spot in the Western conference. This week they shouldn't have a problem with Atlanta, because, well, they're Atlanta.
OAK -13
o/u 33

LOU @ LA 4/25 4:30PM
This is a good week for either of these not so good teams to pick up another win on the season. The Express have found ways to get all their wins in upsets this season, but for once, they are actually favorites. Let's see how they handle it.
LA -5.5
o/u 45.5

JAX @ SD 4/25 4:30PM
The season started off hopeful and promising for both these teams, but now the outlook is bleak. A win this week would help both teams. Jacksonville is in a weak division, and could possibly make a play at it, with over half their games remaining. San Diego is through half their games, and will need to start stacking wins to get back into the wild card race.
SD -5.5
o/u 50.5

ABQ @ NOR 4/25 8:15PM
The Atoms lost a tough one last week in overtime. They need this game on the road to keep themselves as a contender in the Western conference. The Commanders have been ripping off wins, with 4 straight, three of witch agains decent opponents. This will be another quality win if they could pull one out here on Sunday night.
NOR -5.5
o/u 40.5

LSV @ SEA 4/26 8:15PM
Week 10 concludes with a good matchup on Monday night. The Lightning are back above .500, but just barely. They don't have much competition in their own division, so this road game will be a good test to see how much this team stands a chance in the playoffs. The Sockeyes have been lacking consistency. This would be a good week for them to get back to winning again, before they start falling out of the wild card race. Seattle is three point favorites in what will be a high scoring, fun game to follow.
SEA -3
o/u 63
Austin Snelick
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Post  Patrick Davis Thu Apr 22, 2021 1:49 pm

Austin Snelick wrote:
WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

Man, I was thinking we were going to have a chance in this one
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Post  Austin Snelick Fri Apr 23, 2021 7:47 am

I would consider last nights result a bit shocking. The Bluebirds were half point favorites, yet ended up winning by 14. This may give more hope to the Stags that they can pull off the upset in PA on Sunday afternoon.
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Post  Rob Holecko Fri Apr 23, 2021 8:17 am

Austin wrote:This week they shouldn't have a problem with Atlanta, because, well, they're Atlanta.

Very Happy
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Post  92Mafia Fri Apr 23, 2021 9:16 am

Rob Holecko wrote:
Austin wrote:This week they shouldn't have a problem with Atlanta, because, well, they're Atlanta.

Very Happy

Now we're cursed! Crying or Very sad
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Post  Austin Snelick Fri Apr 23, 2021 9:58 am

92Mafia wrote:
Rob Holecko wrote:
Austin wrote:This week they shouldn't have a problem with Atlanta, because, well, they're Atlanta.

Very Happy

Now we're cursed! Crying or Very sad

Just curse another team to pass the curse along.
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Post  zvought Fri Apr 23, 2021 1:27 pm

Patrick Davis wrote:
Austin Snelick wrote:
WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

Man, I was thinking we were going to have a chance in this one

Never say never! I'm not getting any '72 Dolphins or '07 Patriots feelings about our team, so it's only a matter of time...
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Post  Austin Snelick Sat Apr 24, 2021 10:00 am

zvought wrote:
Patrick Davis wrote:
Austin Snelick wrote:
WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

Man, I was thinking we were going to have a chance in this one

Never say never! I'm not getting any '72 Dolphins or '07 Patriots feelings about our team, so it's only a matter of time...

Pennsylvania just hasn't run into the wrong matchup yet. I think it will eventually happen. The tougher matchups will be on the road, given the built in home field advantage in the league, and PA has to go to Wisconsin, San Antonio, Baltimore, and Cincinnati. They also have a home game against Toronto, which could be tough as well. I won't rule out an 18-0 regular season, but I'd think PA could drop one of those games.

I've also been debating on if I should allow teams to "rest" players before the playoffs. This would make that team immune to a rankings downgrade for that week, when I do the rankings adjustments. That could alter the spread in week 19 in Cincinnati, if I allow that. That could be open to league discussion.
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Post  NeauXone Sat Apr 24, 2021 11:04 am

Austin Snelick wrote:
zvought wrote:
Patrick Davis wrote:
Austin Snelick wrote:
WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

Man, I was thinking we were going to have a chance in this one

Never say never! I'm not getting any '72 Dolphins or '07 Patriots feelings about our team, so it's only a matter of time...

Pennsylvania just hasn't run into the wrong matchup yet. I think it will eventually happen. The tougher matchups will be on the road, given the built in home field advantage in the league, and PA has to go to Wisconsin, San Antonio, Baltimore, and Cincinnati. They also have a home game against Toronto, which could be tough as well. I won't rule out an 18-0 regular season, but I'd think PA could drop one of those games.

I've also been debating on if I should allow teams to "rest" players before the playoffs. This would make that team immune to a rankings downgrade for that week, when I do the rankings adjustments. That could alter the spread in week 19 in Cincinnati, if I allow that. That could be open to league discussion.
I'm fine with that. Anything that makes the league more accurate to real life is nice to have.
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Post  Austin Snelick Sat Apr 24, 2021 11:59 am

NeauXone wrote:
Austin Snelick wrote:
zvought wrote:
Patrick Davis wrote:
Austin Snelick wrote:
WIS @ PEN 4/25 1:00PM
Can anyone stop the Keystones? The Stags will need to pull off a big road upset this week if they want to be the first to hand Pennsylvania a loss.
PEN -13
o/u 48

Man, I was thinking we were going to have a chance in this one

Never say never! I'm not getting any '72 Dolphins or '07 Patriots feelings about our team, so it's only a matter of time...

Pennsylvania just hasn't run into the wrong matchup yet. I think it will eventually happen. The tougher matchups will be on the road, given the built in home field advantage in the league, and PA has to go to Wisconsin, San Antonio, Baltimore, and Cincinnati. They also have a home game against Toronto, which could be tough as well. I won't rule out an 18-0 regular season, but I'd think PA could drop one of those games.

I've also been debating on if I should allow teams to "rest" players before the playoffs. This would make that team immune to a rankings downgrade for that week, when I do the rankings adjustments. That could alter the spread in week 19 in Cincinnati, if I allow that. That could be open to league discussion.
I'm fine with that. Anything that makes the league more accurate to real life is nice to have.

I figured, if there is actual incentive for teams to rest players, then they might. Similar to real life, if you don't want to risk injury, then you rest players. In the GSL, an "injury" would cause a team ranking to decrease.

The next thing to figure out is, if your team rests players, how does that effect team rankings? I think the right option is, both offensive and defensive rankings for the team that week would decrease by 1, since it's only possible for a teams ranking to increase or decrease by 1 in any given week, if they happen to be the randomly selected team.
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Post  rbronish Sun Apr 25, 2021 7:55 pm

Louisiana and Los Angels playing a doubleheader? 😂
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Post  Austin Snelick Sun Apr 25, 2021 8:29 pm

rbronish wrote:Louisiana and Los Angels playing a doubleheader? 😂

Yeah, neither team was happy how they played, so they decided to go again haha.


27-23 LA was the final. I think somehow there was a split second where the game had finished, but before the score could be put in, the code saw no score, and that the game wasn't simulating, so it started over again.
I'll get that fixed shortly.

Looked like Louisiana had a chance for a second win there.


*** EDIT ***

Problem resolved
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Post  Austin Snelick Tue Apr 27, 2021 7:25 am

Week 10 ended in dramatic fashion last night, with the Sockeyes over coming a 24-6 deficit, scoring a touchdown and a two point conversion late, only for the Lightning to end the game with a game winning field goal.

The ending of this game brought up something about over time rules, that I had forgotten about. Since I'm pulling play by play data from NFL games between 2009 and 2018, some overtime games will be sudden death, while other are under the current NFL rules. Some over times will be 15 minutes long, while others 10 minutes long. Doesn't really change the outcome of the games, which are pre-simulated, but it is something that is a little inconsistent between games.
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